BIZ 2018 Kentucky Derby/Oaks REPORT

[Biz]

Its Derby week, and once again I will have you covered for the Big Day. My 2017 Breeders' Cup Report was a huge success, netting players over $2600 on all suggested wagers, including a solid wager on a 17/1 shot. You can find that Report here:

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1096342&highlight=

I also have 2 threads in the Racing forum that produced thousands of dollars of profit on each day. This card from Saratoga produced a $6900+ Pick 4 and we won over $10,000 on the day:

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1026183&highlight=saratoga

Here is Travers Day 2017 from Saratoga, suggested wagers cost $322 with a return of $1943. Net profits were $1621.

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1090732

I love wagering on sports and have had success doing so for years. But I absolutely love horse racing, and never miss a big race day. Derby Day and Breeders' Cup Day are 2 of my favorite days of the year. I will have the entire card handicapped and ready to go. I will have suggested wagers for my Best Win Bets, Pick 3 and 4. Exacta and trifecta wagers also.

I always suggest that folks that just want to have a good time and make some money, to pool your money and play the wagers as a group. If I have Pick 3/4 wagers that cost $150, split that cost with a couple buddies for $50 each. If you have the bankroll, fire at them yourself and win some money.

Friday is Kentucky Oaks Day, the Oaks is for 3YO fillies (its their "Derby"). Its a great race and I'll never forget hitting Lemon's Forever in 2006, the biggest upset in Oaks history at 48/1. I have a horse that I think can upset the 2 favorites in that race. The Oaks Report will be ready tonight, and the Derby Report finalized Friday night.

The cost for the Kentucky Derby/Oaks Report is $25, and that will also include all of my MLB/NBA/NHL selections for the weekend.

Biz112763@gmail.com and I will get you ready for a great weekend of racing.

 

[Biz]

BTW, the threads in the racing forum have selections designed for those familiar with racing. If you read those you may be a bit confused on how to structure a wager. The Report will have very clear instructions on exactly HOW to construct a ticket on Pick 3/4, exactas, etc... If you have any questions at all, contact me and I will answer all of your questions.

 

[Biz]

A few folks have asked me when the reports will be ready, as well as what the method of payment is. Oaks definitely tonight, and hopefully the Derby as well. If the Derby Day report isn't finalized, I will send the Derby horses to use in the Oaks/Derby double with your Oaks report.

Many folks that purchased my Breeders' Cup report have already purchased the Derby package, most have mentioned our fantastic BC weekend as a main reason. Included in your Derby package are all of my MLB/NBA/NHL thru Sunday also.

P@yP@l is: bizwinners1127@gmail.com

If you are using a smaller bankroll, just let me know how much it is. I will design a plan for your wagers specifically for that bankroll. You can certainly have great action and win nice profits with a smaller bankroll. I've done it many times.

All of my MLB/NBA/NHL and 2 days of fantastic horse racing action for $25. You won't find a better bargain on this site. Have a great weekend, and lets cash some tickets.

 

[Biz]

The Kentucky Oaks Report is finished. Looking forward to a fantastic day of racing. Those that have purchased the Oaks/Derby package should see that in their inbox, the report was just sent out. You will also get my MLB/NBA/NHL plays as well.

Contact me at biz112763@gmail.com for a profitable day at the races.

 

[Biz]

Not a huge cash, but we hit the first race as Mia's Mischief scores.

"A field of seven 3 YO fillies going 7 furlongs. The favorites look best in here, so I don’t want to get crazy playing too much. However, there is one filly that we will key. That is the #3 Mia Mischief. She’s 5/2 ML after being odds on in her last four starts. This filly has the fastest figure in the race, and its by a solid margin. If she repeats it she is the winner. She may get bet down from her 5/2, so the tote board will dictate a win bet.


Contenders include #4 Salt Bae, #5 Talk Veuve To Me, and #6 Gas Station Sushi."

The 4,5,6 run 2-4. Trifecta and Super all right there.

Race 5 - Eight Belles S. Presented By Kentucky Trailer - FIN - Post Time: 9:34 am

#	Horse	Jockey	$2 WIN	$2 PLACE	$2 SHOW
3	Mia Mischief	Ricardo Santana, Jr.	$5.00	$3.00	$2.20
5	Talk Veuve to Me	Shaun Bridgmohan		$4.20	$3.40
6	Gas Station Sushi	Corey Nakatani			$3.00
4	Salt Bae	Javier Castellano

Race Type: STAKES	Distance: 7F	Surface: Dirt - Fast
Purse: $200,000		Replay

Bet	Winning Numbers	Payoff
$2 DOUBLE	8/3	$94.20
$2 EXACTA	3-5	$21.80
$2 PICK THREE	8/8/3	$212.40
$2 PICK FOUR	4/3,8,9/8/3	$1,539.00
$2 SUPERFECTA	3-5-6-4	$317.20
$1 SUPERFECTA	3-5-6-4	$158.60
$2 TRIFECTA	3-5-6	$68.80
$0.50 TRIFECTA	3-5-6	$17.20

 

[Biz]

Nailed Race 8 as our Top Selection sat chilly on the flank of last year's Derby Winner Always Dreaming and pulled away to win as much the best. Our 26/1 longshot #7 closed for the place. Win Bet,Trifecta, Super all hit with the suggested wagers. This race more than pays for every suggested wager on the sheet. Free rolling the rest of the card and we have a nice profit, we cashed $800. Here is my Race 8 analysis:

RACE 8:
Nothing stands out, we have a few very solid colts in this Grade 2 Stakes at 1 1/16. Call me crazy but we are going to try and beat last year’s Derby winner Almost Dreaming. #1 Good Samaritan is a nice looking 4YO, poised for a good effort. #5 Hoppertunity is a hard knocking older horse that has run a couple big figures over this track.


The one I like the best is #4 Backyard Heaven. A lightly raced 4YO, he will be tested for class today. Shows a nice pattern by matching his solid 3YO top, if he moves forward as this pattern suggests he can score at a decent price. 9/2 on the ML.


$20 Win Bet: #4 Backyard Heaven
$2 Ex Box: 4 with 1,5,8 = $12
$1 Tri: 4 with 1,5,7,8 with 1,5,7,8 = $12
$1 Super: 4 with 1,5,7,8 with 1,5,7,8 with 1,5,7,8= $24
$1 Pick 3: 1,4,5 / 2,10 / 6,7,9,11 = $24
$.50 Pick 4: 1,4,5 / 2,10 / 2,6,7,9,11 / 2,5,10,14 = $60


Race 8 - Alysheba S. Presented By Sentient Jet - FIN - Post Time: 11:52 am

#	Horse	Jockey	$2 WIN	$2 PLACE	$2 SHOW
4	Backyard Heaven	Irad Ortiz, Jr.	$6.40	$4.00	$3.00
7	Hawaakom	Corey Lanerie		$13.20	$5.20
1	Good Samaritan	Joel Rosario			$2.80
5	Hoppertunity	Flavien Prat

Race Type: STAKES	Distance: 1 1/16M	Surface: Dirt - Fast
Purse: $400,000		Replay

Bet	Winning Numbers	Payoff
$2 DOUBLE	10/4	$55.00
$2 EXACTA	4-7	$120.00
$2 PICK THREE	1/10/4	$412.20
$2 SUPERFECTA	4-7-1-5	$1,098.00
$1 SUPERFECTA	4-7-1-5	$549.00
$2 TRIFECTA	4-7-1	$366.80
$0.50 TRIFECTA	4-7-1	$91.70

 

[Biz]

We hit the trifecta and have live P3 and P4 tickets going forward. #7 Toinette flies down the lane to just get up and beat the even money favorite Rushing Falls in a thriller. Not the biggest price, but it cashes and we are live going forward.

RACE 10:
Nice turf race for 3YO fillies. #11 Rushing Fall is odds on and very solid, but not invincible. The 2,6,7,9 can all contend. Throwing some bombs in here hoping to beat the heavy chalk.


$.50 Tri Box 2,6,7,9,11 = $60
$1 Pick 3: 2,6,7,9,11 / 2,5,10,14 / 4,10 = $40
Economy $.50 Pick 3: 6,7,11 / 2,5,14 / 4,10 = $9
Pick 4: 2,6,7,9,11/ 2,5,10,14 / 4,10 / 2,3,4,6 = $80
Economy Pick 4: 6,7,11/2,5,14/4,10/2,3,4 = $27



Race 10 - Edgewood S. Presented By Forcht Bank - FIN - Post Time: 2:03 pm

#	Horse	Jockey	$2 WIN	$2 PLACE	$2 SHOW
7	Toinette	Flavien Prat	$12.80	$5.20	$3.60
11	Rushing Fall	Javier Castellano		$3.00	$2.40
6	Daddy Is a Legend	Irad Ortiz, Jr.			$3.00
1	Got Stormy	Tyler Gaffalione

Race Type: STAKES	Distance: 1 1/16M	Surface: Turf - Firm
Purse: $200,000		Replay

Bet	Winning Numbers	Payoff
$2 DOUBLE	6/7	$80.00
$2 EXACTA	7-11	$31.60
$2 PICK THREE	4/6/7	$330.80
$2 SUPERFECTA	7-11-6-1	$1,373.20
$1 SUPERFECTA	7-11-6-1	$686.60
$2 TRIFECTA	7-11-6	$117.40
$0.50 TRIFECTA	7-11-6	$29.35

 

[Biz]

Lets get one of these long shots home.

#2 Coach Rocks and #5 Wonder Godot are our main price horses here.

 

[Biz]

What an absolutely brutal beat with the #5. 15/1 gets beat by a 5/2 shot. Our P3 and P4 tickets still alive, but pay a lot more if the #5 wins. We hit the trifecta for at least another $500 if he holds on. Our oaks/Derby Double ticket still alive, but again pays a lot more if the #5 wins.

Even with that brutal beat, we cashed tickets today and made a nice profit. Congratulations to everyone that purchased the Report, we had a profitable day.

 

[Biz]

Hit the small Pick 3 that ended with Race 12. Our Pick 4 ticket is alive to the 2,3,4,6.

Regardless of what happens, we had a fantastic Oaks Day with several winning tickets. If the #5 Wonder Godot holds on its a big day. Congratulations to all of you that used the report today. I'll send out the Derby Report later tonight. We also have a full slate of MLB/NBA and NHL tonight.

If you would like my report for the Kentucky Derby card, contact me at biz112763@gmail.com. It also includes the MLB/NBA/NHL also. Have a great weekend.

 

[Biz]

We close with the chalky $76 Pick 4 to end the day. Our Oaks/Derby Double wagers are also live.

RACE 10:
Nice turf race for 3YO fillies. #11 Rushing Fall is odds on and very solid, but not invincible. The 2,6,7,9 can all contend. Throwing some bombs in here hoping to beat the heavy chalk.


$.50 Tri Box 2,6,7,9,11 = $60
$1 Pick 3: 2,6,7,9,11 / 2,5,10,14 / 4,10 = $40
Economy $.50 Pick 3: 6,7,11 / 2,5,14 / 4,10 = $9
Pick 4: 2,6,7,9,11/ 2,5,10,14 / 4,10 / 2,3,4,6 = $80
Economy Pick 4: 6,7,11/2,5,14/4,10/2,3,4 = $27


RACE 11:
The Kentucky Oaks is the feature race of the day. There are 4 horses that I have in my “A” group. The two favorites - #10 Midnight Bisou 5/2ML and #14 Monomoy Girl 2/1ML. #5 Wonder Godot is solid also and must be included.


The filly we will key is #2 Coach Rocks. She is 12/1ML and has run figures that are right in line with the two favorites. She drew a great inside post while the favorites are out wide and may suffer possible ground loss. The most likely winner is #14 Monomoy Girl. the best value in this race is #2 Coach Rocks.






$50 Win Bet: #2 Coach Rocks
$2 Exacta Box: 2 / 5,10,14 = $12
$1 Trifecta: 2 / 5,10,14 / 5,7,9,10,11,13,14 = $18
$1 Trifecta: 2 / 5,7,9,10,11,13,14 / 5,10,14 = $18
$.50 Trifecta: 5 / 2,10,14 / 2,7,9,10,11,13,14 = $9
$.50 Trifecta: 5 / 2,7,9,10,11,13,14 / 2,10,14 = $9
$1 Superfecta: 2 / 5,10,14 / 5,10,14 / all = $66
$5 Oaks/Derby Double: 2,5,14 / 5,6,7 = $45


Race 11 - Longines Kentucky Oaks - FIN - Post Time: 3:11 pm

#	Horse	Jockey	$2 WIN	$2 PLACE	$2 SHOW
14	Monomoy Girl	Florent Geroux	$7.20	$4.60	$3.60
5	Wonder Gadot	John Velazquez		$14.00	$7.20
10	Midnight Bisou	Mike Smith			$3.20
13	Eskimo Kisses	Corey Lanerie
4	Chocolate Martini	Javier Castellano

Race Type: STAKES	Distance: 1 1/8M	Surface: Dirt - Fast
Purse: $1,000,000		Replay

Bet	Winning Numbers	Payoff
$2 DOUBLE	7/14	$44.20
$2 EXACT 5	14-5-10-13-4	$14,126.40
$2 EXACTA	14-5	$96.80
$2 PICK THREE	6/7/14	$410.40
$2 PICK FOUR	4/6/7/14	$1,306.40
$2 PICK FIVE	10/4/6/7/14	$16,273.60
$2 PICK SIX	1/10/4/6/7/14	$712.60
$2 PICK SIX	1/10/4/6/7/14	$103,316.20
$2 SUPERFECTA	14-5-10-13	$2,774.80
$1 SUPERFECTA	14-5-10-13	$1,387.40
$2 TRIFECTA	14-5-10	$362.40
$0.50 TRIFECTA	14-5-10	$90.60

Race 12 - FIN - Post Time: 3:47 pm

#	Horse	Jockey	$2 WIN	$2 PLACE	$2 SHOW
10	Gio Game	Julien Leparoux	$5.40	$3.20	$2.40
6	She`s a Julie	Ricardo Santana, Jr.		$3.60	$2.40
5	Good Creation	Corey Lanerie			$3.40
2	Sydney Freeman	Channing Hill

Race Type: ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING	Distance: 1 1/16M	Surface: Dirt - Fast
Purse: $71,000		Replay

Bet	Winning Numbers	Payoff
$2 EXACTA	10-6	$17.00
$2 PICK THREE	7/14/10	$119.00
$2 SUPERFECTA	10-6-5-2	$512.20
$1 SUPERFECTA	10-6-5-2	$256.10
$2 TRIFECTA	10-6-5	$83.40
$0.50 TRIFECTA	10-6-5	$20.85

Race 13 - FIN - Post Time: 4:27 pm

#	Horse	Jockey	$2 WIN	$2 PLACE	$2 SHOW
2	Rizzoli	Chris Landeros	$4.40	$3.00	$2.20
11	Ipanema Beach	Javier Castellano		$3.60	$2.60
6	Tequila Sunrise	Joel Rosario			$2.40
3	Actress On Board	Gabriel Saez

Race Type: MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT	Distance: 1M	Surface: Dirt - Fast
Purse: $66,000		Replay

Bet	Winning Numbers	Payoff
$2 DOUBLE	10/2	$12.60
$2 EXACTA	2-11	$12.60
$2 PICK THREE	14/10/2	$39.40
$2 PICK FOUR	7/14/3,4,10/1,2,7	$306.40
$2 PICK FIVE	6/7/14/3,4,10/1,2,7	$3,716.20
$2 SUPERFECTA	2-11-6-3	$102.20
$1 SUPERFECTA	2-11-6-3	$51.10
$2 TRIFECTA	2-11-6	$32.80
$0.50 TRIFECTA	2-11-6	$8.20